Q4 2025 Bitcoin Price Forecast: Analysts Predict Drop as Historical Trends Diverge

Jakarta, Pintu News – Crypto Market Analysis

Bitcoin Price Trends and Investor Sentiment

As we look towards the fourth quarter, numerous investors anticipate a bullish trend, a typical phenomenon for this time of year. However, caution has been voiced by a prominent crypto analyst, who emphasizes that past performance may not indicate future results. Bitcoin’s recent price fluctuations are a stark reminder of this uncertainty. Having dropped over 10% from its record peak of $124,457, various indicators suggest that the challenging times for Bitcoin (BTC) may continue.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction for ‘Uptober’

October has historically been regarded as a robust month for Bitcoin price increases. Yet, the consensus this year is tinged with skepticism. On September 24, 10x Research projected that Bitcoin could swing dramatically—either up or down by as much as $20,000—based on converging key technical levels. Compounding this uncertainty, the crypto options market is signaling potential bear territory, with traders increasingly betting against lofty price elevations.

Moreover, on-chain metrics reveal stress points that have previously signaled major trend shifts. Given the prevailing macroeconomic conditions influencing the crypto landscape, the prospects for this quarter could yield surprises. Even though 10x Research has correctly forecasted bullish rally periods in prior years, the current environment appears notably unpredictable.

BTC Options Data Shows Bearish Trend

Insights from Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, reveal that the predominant short positions held by large investors, or "whales," are a major factor behind Bitcoin’s current decline. Over the last month, these whales have offloaded an astonishing 147,000 BTC, contributing to a rapid decrease in their total holdings.

This behavior hints that key investors may be losing faith in Bitcoin’s short-term potential. The prevailing negative sentiment, echoed by seasonal trends and past peak behaviors, has triggered significant selling in the broader crypto market. Notably, this trend is evidenced by outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs and the exit of pivotal market players, including early Bitcoin adopters. As a point of reference, Matrixport identifies $109,899 as a critical support level; maintaining above this threshold is essential for the bull market’s sustainability.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price and Trading Volume Analysis

Bitcoin is currently trading at approximately $112,550, representing a 5% decline over the week. In the past 24 hours, the price fluctuated between a low of $111,229 and a high of $113,351. Notably, trading volume has also contracted by 13% within the same period, indicating a waning interest among traders.

Should Bitcoin’s price dip below $109,580, the Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized Price indicator suggests that a bearish trend is likely to unfold. The current market dynamics, underlined by both declining prices and trading volume, further exacerbates the overall instability.

Stay informed by following updates on Google News for the latest insights into the rapidly evolving world of crypto. Delve into our educational resources on Pintu Academy to learn about cryptocurrency fundamentals and keep abreast of market fluctuations affecting Bitcoin and other digital assets.

For traders seeking a smooth and secure experience, consider downloading the Pintu crypto app available on Google Play Store and the App Store. Explore advanced trading features and tools for a more informed and strategic trading approach.


Disclaimer: This article aims to provide readers with insightful information based on various sources. Note that past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading cryptocurrencies carries significant risks and volatility; always conduct thorough research and only invest what you can afford to lose.

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